

CoE Rapporteur on Forced Migration by Environmental Incidents, Bies, to Eurofora: Race against Time

*Strasbourg/CoE/Angelo Marcopolo/-Speaking to "Eurofora" just after the Debate and Adoption, by CoE's PanEuropean Assembly, of his Report on "New Challenges" about "Forced Migration", mainly by recently Growing Major Environmental Upheavals, provoked by Natural or Man-made Catastrophes and/or Climate Change, French MEP Philippe Bies, of the Governing Socialist Party, from Strasbourg, gave a Stern Warning about Possible, or even Probable Dengers in the foreseable Future, against which, Europe and the whole International Community should find the adequate and Efficient ways to Fight in "a Race against Time", as he stressed.
Indeed, a CoE's Resolution adopted Today observes that," according to the UNHCR, about 50 Millions People have been Displaced Woerldwide in Recent Years", both "because of Conflicts, Persecution and Violence", and "as a Result of Natural, Chemical or Nuclear Disasters", while, in addition, "according to the InterGovernemental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)", "the Flow of Environmental Migrants will reach 150 Millions by 2050", othe relevant Organisations speaking about "200 Millions".
Such Estimations come kust a few Years after the World Meteorological Organisation had Warned about a Recent and Growing Trend towards a Repêtition and even Multiplication of various "Extreme Weather Events" (EWE), in Many Countries, (that some attribute to Climate Change).
Questioned by "Eurofora" if he thinks that there might be a real Risk to approach, at least partly, a situation like that, against which had warned the Famous Brittish Writer Orwell in his Book "1984", where he describes a Europe surrounded by Exceptional Events, Catastrophes, Wars, etc., which Force a lot of People to Seek Refuge, and, thus, Massively Emigrate in adverse conditions, CoE's Rapporteur didn't Deny such a Risk, in the forseable Future, even if he pointed mainly at Locations situated further away :

- In fact, "the idea (of his Report) is for Europe to take an Initiative for the Definition of ?orced Migration" by Environmental Disasters, (See Infra), "even if it's (EU) Not the most affected" Directly by those Events, Bies Replied to "Eurofora".
- Because, "those who are the most Immediately Concerned are in Other Continents, such as, f.ex., India, Bangladesh, Central Asia, etc, which don't have, however, an exclusivity on Natural Catastrophes, since they might occur also in Europe".
=> - "My aim is to Anticipate : We know that these Phenomena Exist, that they are Growing. So, we should try to Monitor them in the Best Possible way", CoE's Rapporteur explained.
- "At the same Time, we should accomplish things that we master less than others, such as COP21 ; Concerning Climate Change, it's COP21 which should Today incite the Countries to Monitor the Energies used, to Care for a more Human and Ecological Development, etc", Bies pointed out, speaking at the CoE in Strasbourg, the Same Day that, in UNO's Headquarters at New York, the latest COP21 Agreement, reached last Year at the relevant International UNCCC Summit in Paris, was opened for Signature by the interested Countriesn, which already reached the Number of 170.
-+ But, "There is also a Legal aspect : That's the Review of the Definition of who is a "Refugee", CoE's Rapporteur added.
For that purpose, make a New, Specific Treaty, would be "too Complicated". "I think that we must try to make it as Simple and Efficient as posible", f.ex. by "an Additional Protocol to the (general) Geneva Conventions (on Refugees). That's it", he advised.
- "I don't know how Long it might take. I suppose some Years. For the moment, I try to Contribute by bringing a First Stone" to the overall Edifice, Bies said modestly.
- Because, concerning the Various Possible Dangers, "in fact, they are Important. it's a Race against Time !", he Warned.
- Therefore, Action should be taken "on Both Levers" :
- (A) "If we can Prevent Population Displacements, we must do it. This goes through the Fight against Climate Change". But, "despite the Success of COP21, everybody knows that there are Countries which won't make enough efforts. So that, perhaps, it might Delay Climate Change, but not yet Stop it", he observed.
- (B) "And, afterwords, it's that Legal Issue, which is Important". Because, "once a New Definition given", Forced Environmental Refugees could be Protected. On the Contrary,- "Let's imagine what might happen", f.ex. "in case of Climate Change provoking a Big Population Movement, without having, previously, added to Political Refugees also a Legal Definition of a Status for Environmental Refugees... It's as Simple as that", CoE's Rapporteur pointed out.
- When "Eurofora" reminded to Bies the notorious 2003 Heatwave in France, which Killed some 15.000 Persso,s and THreatened the Energy Independence of the Country, (f.ex. by Reducing Water flows needed to ReFresh Nuclear Reactors, etc), added to the 2010 Russian Heatwave, which filled Moscow with suffocating Smog, and provoked huge Fires at the Countryside, Destroying.Crops and Threatening Nuclear and Military Defense Installations, etc., the PanEuropean CoE's Rapporteur agreed that, "Yes, this might Happen even in Europe !".
- "However, in order for any Population Movement to result in real Refugees, they must get Out from one Country and go to anOther", he reminded, "you can't be a Refugee inside your own Country", as he pointed out. Even if he spoke in Strasbourg, Near the Franco-German Border, too Easy to Cross in just a Few Minutes, as "Eurofora" observed, making him smile.
+ While, in addition, even Inside one Country, various areas of Different Conflicts or Catastrophes throughout the World, unfortunately have experienced the Tragic Phenomenon of the so-called Massive Forced Movements of "Internaly Displaced People", or "IDP"s, according to the usual acronym used in such cases by the UN, (f.ex., in Cyprus, in ex-Yugoslavia, Ukraine, etc). In case of Natural or Environmental Catastrophes, such Events have partialy occured even inside China, (f.ex. after Huge Mudslides and/or Floods, etc), and/or the USA (f.ex. after the 2005 "Katrina" Giant Hurricane Disaster, when a lot of American People were Obliged or Ordered by the Government to Evacuate and Leave away from their Homes at the Southern Mississipi area), etc.

=> That's why, inter alia, the Resolution adopted Today by CoE's Assembly includes also a Call for the "Integration of Persons Displaced for Environmental Reasons, whether they are Internaly Displaced, or have been Forced to Emigrate to anOther State".
+ Moreover, CoE's Resolution adopted according to Bies' Report, "underlines that the Impact of climate change and natural, chemical or nuclear disasters Varies depending on the Vulnerability and adaptability of the Populations concerned, and on the Capacity of States to prevent or deal with such events". Therefore, the PanEuropean Assembly "recommends that Member States" : "acknowledge the Vulnerability of these Groups and ensure that their fundamental Rights are fully observed".
++ In General, States should "give greater Priority to devising Protection Policies and Norms for Victims of Natural, chemical or nuclear Disasters and for the victims of the consequences of Climate change", "adopt measures to prohibit any over-exploitation of natural resources", and "take the necessary measures to Resettle the Populations concerned", while also "Reviewing the relevant international Rules and expand them to include a definition for these migrants", particularly by "Revising the 1951 Geneva Convention relating to the Status of Refugees", (Comp. Supra).

- The Issue doesn't seem to provoke a lot of Political Controversy among Various Parties of MEPs, as it appeared also by the Fact that Experienced ChristianDemocrat/EPP French MEP André Schneider, speaking on the name of his Political Group, strongly supported Bies' Report on most of its main points, reminding also that he had pzersonaly drafted, already as early as since 2012 another relevant Report, for the National Assembly in Paris, on "the Impact of Climate Change on Security and Defence", where he had Warned about "Environmental Migrations" : "F.ex., in Egypt, a 50 cm rise in the level of the Mediterranean might provoke an Exodus of 4 Millions People fleeing the Nile Delta for Higher regions", observed Schneider.
(../..)
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("DraftNews", as already send to "Eurofora"s Subscribers/Donors, earlier. A more accurate, full Final Version, may be published asap).
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Recent developments proved that Europe can suceed to overcome challenges by aiming at great objectives, and this is needed also in 2009, said EU chairman, French President Nicolas Sarkozy.
- "It's in the name of Great Ideas, Projects, Ambition and Ideals, that EU can overcome" challenges, stressed Sarkozy at EU Parliament in Strasbourg, in conclusion of a dense 7 months EU Chairmanship. "It's even easier for Europe to have Great projects, able to overcome national egoism, instead of limiting itself only to small projects" (unable to do alike), he observed.
- "Europe must remain Ambitious and understand that the World needs her to take Decisions". "The World needs a Strong Europe", which "thinks on its own, has convictions, its own responses, its imagination" : "A Europe which does not limit itself into following" others, (as it did in the Past, when it followed USA, f.ex. on Bosnia). On the contrary, "Europe should undertake its own responsibilities", he said, after a series of succes in stopping the War between Russia and Georgia, and organizing the 1st EuroZone's Summit in Paris, which incited the Washington DC G-20 Summit to extend similar decisions World-wide.
- "When you sweep it all under the carpet, prepare yourself for hard tomorrows", he warned. "What hinders decisions is the lack of Courage and Will, the fading away of Ideals", he stressed before EU Parliament's 2008 debate on Human Rights and Sakharov prize on Freedom of thought attributed by MEPs to Chinese cyber-dissident Hu Jia, followed by an EU - Turkey meeting on Friday.
- "I don't abandon my convictions" and "I will take initiatives" on EU level also in 2009, Sarkozy announced later. "France will not stop having convictions and taking initiatives" on Europe. + "It's an Error to wish to pass over the Heads of those who are elected in their Countries" : "It's an integrism I always fought against"', he warned.
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French EU Presidency faced 4 unexpected Crisis :
- An institutional crisis, with the Irish "No" to EU Lisbon Treaty, just before it started. A geopolitical crisis, wth the threat of War between Russia and Georgia risking to throw Europe back to Cold-war divisions, on August. A World-wide Financial and Economic crisis, arriving at a bad moment before crucial 2009 EU elections. And even a Strasbourg's mini-crisis, with EU Parliament's roof curiously falling down, from unknown reasons, in a brand new building on August, provoking an unprecedented transfert of the 2 September Plenary Sessions...
But it wasn't enough to stop Sarkozy ! On the contrary, it stimulated him...
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- "The better way to deal with the recent problems of EU institutions (as the "3 NO" by France, the Netherlands and Ireland) is to take them as a "Test" in order to find solutions closer to Citizens' concerns", said later in Strasbourg Sarkozy's new choice as Ministe for EU affairs, Bruno Le Maire.
- On the Institutional front, Sarkozy gave Time to the Irish to think about it, and stroke on December a deal including a New Referendum after the June 2009 EU Elections, in exchange of a promise to keep the rule of "one EU Commissioner for each EU Member Country", and some opt-outs on Defence and Fiscal EU policies, Abortion, etc. If the Irish get a "Yes" Majority, then the institutional package could be completed in 2010 or 2011 on the occasion of Croatia's probable EU accession.
He was accused in Strasbourg to upgrade EU Council and downgrade EU Commision, but he replied that "strong Political initiatives by EU Council reinforce also the more technical role of EU Commission, under the political-technical leadership of its President", all 3 "working together with EU Parliament".
- But, meanwhile, Sarkozy energetically spearheaded an Historic 1st Summit of EuroZone's 15 Heads of State and Government at EU's core, exceptionally enlarged to a partial participation of British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, on October 12 in Paris' Elysee palace, which started to tackle succesfully the growing world Financial crisis.
It also paved the way for its endorsement by a subsequent Brussels' 27 EU Member States' gathering, before it all come to Washington's G-20 Summit. And "Europe was united, it asked for the 1st G-20 Summit, and it will also organise the next G-20 Summit on April in London", he observed.
But a Conference with EU, Russia, African and other Developing Countries, hosted in Strasbourg shortly after Washington G-20 Summit by the French EU Presidency, took a Resolution asking to enlarge participation to Global Economic Governance. Many found, indeed, illogic and unacceptable that f.ex. states as Turkey were given a seat at G-20 level, while all African Countries, and even the African Union itself, representing the greatest Continent on Earth, were excluded...
Meanwhile, even USA''s "Paulson No 3" Plan, was, in fact, inspired by Europe's No 1 Plan", Sarkozy observed, largelly applauded by MEPs.
And "Europe showed Solidarity" by mobilizing some 22 Billion credit for Hungary, 1,7 billion for Ukraine, as we do nowadays for Baltic States, etc., he added.
The move on Economy was extended on December by an EU stimulus' plan totalling some 200 billion Euros, including 5 Billions released by EU Commission for big Projects, as well as various parallel National plans for Economic revival, (fex. 26 billions in France alone). They might appear limited, compared to USA President-elect Obama's reported plan to boost the American economy with 800 billion $, but at least succeded to overcome Europe's divisions for the first time on Economic governance, opening new horizons.
- The French President stressed even harder the unique role of an active EU Council's chairmanship, when he moved swiftly and efficiently, at the beginning of August, to succesfully stop War between Russia and Georgia, at the last minute, which threatened to bring Europe back to Cold War division.
"We (EU) also wanted to avoid a situation like in Bosnia, in the Past, when EU was absent, so that our American friends took their responsibilitues, and EU only followed", despite the fact that the conflict took place in Europe. Now, it was the EU who took its responsibilities".
A roadmap towards a new PanEuropean Security policy, before which all unilateral moves to place new Missiles (from USA or Russia) would be freezed, was proposed by Sarkozy after a meeting with Russian president Medvedev, at the eve of Washington DC's G-20 Summit.
Ukraine's "European" character was stressed at a Sarkozy - Jushenko Summit, September in Paris, while EU adopted on December an "Eastern policy", in which, "I'm convinced that our (EU's) future is to find with our Neighbours the conditions for Economic Development. Peace and Security, by explaining them that.. they must respect (Human Rights') Values, and adopt behaviors different from the Past", explained Sarkozy in Strasbourg.
Meanwhile, the "Union for the Mediterranean" was created, since July's Summit if 45 Heads of State and Government in Paris, as "an organisation for a permanent Dialogue, that we need", mainly in order to tackle the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, by bringing together, for the 1st time, Israelis and Arabs, where "Europe must be present, in order to avoid a frontal clash".
- "If Europe doesn't take its part for Peace in the Middle-East, nobody else will do that in our place", Sarkozy stressed.
-----------------------
Meanwhile, other EU Agreements were brokered during the French EU Presidency on Immigration, (fex. common Asylum rules, etc), and Climat- Energy :
- On Climat-Energy, the 2007 German EU Presidency had fixed a triple 20% aim for 2020 (20% renewable Energies, 20% reduction of CO2 emmission, 20% energy efficience/economies), and the 2008 French EU Presidecny realized that, making the necessary compromises in order to modernize EU's industry, but without throwing some former Central-Eastern European Countries into abrupt Economic break down risking "social explosion".
- Defence-Security EU policy was mainly postponed for April 2009, since both German chancellor Merkel and French president Sarkozy want to strike a deal with the new American president Obama in Strasbourg's NATO Summit.
However, with all these 4 unexpected Crisis diverting attention to other urgencies, People wil wonder now, what happened to the famous deal proposed by freshly-elected French President Sarkozy on Turkey's controversial EU bid, back on August 2007, to continue EU - Turkey negotiations, but on the double condition that core chapters, intrinsequally linked with EU Membership, will be excluded, and that a collective Reflexion and Debate on Europe's future would start before the end of 2008.
It was meant to reply to the crucial question : What kind of Europe do we want in 10 or 20 Years from now : A large Market, or a Political Europe, with a popular identity ? In Sarkozy's thinking, presented in his 2 landmark speeches on Europe in Strasbourg, shortly before and after the 2007 Elections, (on February and July 2007), Turkey's controversial EU bid would be incompatible with the second choice.
It's true that EU Commision's Chairman, Jose Barroso, (who had notoriously declared, as former Portuguese Prime Minister, that he found "nonsense" the idea that Europe might become equal to the US), had repeatedly tried to avoid that Sarkozy's criticism on Turkey might start winning a larger audience in Europe, preferring a discrete "wismens' committee" work. And that most of the personalities later chosen in order to participate in a Committee on Europe's Future, are too much linked with Socialist parties and/or American policies, to be really critical of USA's notorious wish to impose Turkey to the EU, as Sarkozy had noted himself since March 2007..
- "It's on EU Council's presidency to take political initiatives. EU Commission has other competences", stressed Sarkozy. The "European Ideal" is to "build Europe with the States, not against them". "Ask Europeans to chose between their countries and Europe won't work. You don't choose between your two parents : We must add them together".
"France and Germany have an Historic Duty to work together, precisely because of what happened to the Past. We have to work hand by hand. We cannot be separated.It goes beyond me and Mrs Merkel today, Mr Schroeder and Mr. Chirac yesterday. It's not a choice, it's a duty to Europe and to the World". "We need Germany, as Germany needs Europe". Compromise is inevitable, here as everywhere, and each one made some steps towards eachother's positions.
But "it's true that Mrs Merkel didn't chose her Socialist partners, while I chose mine", Sarkozy said, in an indirect hint that the Socialist Minister of Finance in Germany might be a cause of minor past disagreements in Economy, which were overcome in recent negotiations.
"We (France and Germany) have particular duties in Europe", but "in a Europe of 27 Member States, it's not enough for France and Germany to agree between them.
"I always thought that Great Britain has a special role to play in Europe. ... Now, everybody "saw what it cost payed the UK for having been too exclusively open towards the US (and) Financial services. Europe needs the UK, but also the UK needs Europe" :- "We were able to face the hardest moment of the Financial crisis because the UK clearly chose Europe", stressed Sarkozy, reminding Gordon Brown's exceptional participation to the Historic 1st Heads of State/Government Summit of EuroZone, October 12 in Paris (See EuroFora's Reportage from Elysee Palace then).
- "Some look at Europe with old glasses aged 30 years ago. While we must look at her in relation to what it will be in 30 years" in the Future, Sarkozy concluded.