

FrancoGerman move for Peace (at Stake in US Mid-Term Election) waits for Trump/Putin/UNSG+60 Leaders

*Strasbourg/Angelo Marcopolo/- While Europe commemorates the Atrocities of Deadly and Destructive World Wars of the Past, at the 100th Anniversary of the End of WW1 (1918-2018), both Regional and Global Peace is at Stake in the current USA's "Mid-Term" Elections (6/11/2018)...
France and Germany have just launched in Strasbourg an original March towards Paris' forthcoming World Forum for Peace, practically at the eve of USA Mid-Term Election, while waiting for Trump, Putin and around 60 Leaders, as well as UNO's Secretary General Antonio Guterrez, to arrive at that exceptional Rendez-vous.
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Just 2 Days before an US Mid-Term Election exceptionaly Important for Peace in Korea/Nuclear, Syria and even Ukraine Issues, EU core's Franco-German couple marked a landmark Symbolic Top Event in Strasbourg's emblematic Cathedral, with Presidents Macron and Steinmeier, by kick-Starting a Longue March through Strasbourg's Region and other former Bordelines between the two Core EU Countries, for the Memory of the End of a devastating 1st World War, a Century ago (1918-2018), leading up to a Macron - Merkel meeting at the Historic Compiegne Castle, where the Armistice of 1908 had been Signed, the Week-End of November 11, near Paris, which awaits Next Sunday more than 60 Heads of State/Government from Europe and allover the World, invited by the French President, including USA's new President Don Trump, Russia's President Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angie Merkel, UNO's Secretary General Antonio Guterrez, (etc), for a Joint Ceremony at the Arc of Triomphe, and a brand New International Paris' 2018 "Forum", now dedicated to "Peace".
Tha Word means a lot here, particularly accross those Borderline Areas of Former very Deadly BattleGrounds, and, Timely comming in the run up to May 2019 European Elections, it Naturally underlines EU's main Achievement, during more than 60 Years (1945 - 2018), to Help Saveguard Peace in Europe, after 85 Years with a Franco-German War and Two World Wars (1870-1945), which Killed many Millions of People, and provoked Immense Destructions, making also Europe lose its Historic 1st role in the World until then.
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But Nowadays Global Peace is also at Stake in the Korean Nuclear Arms' Issue, where spectacular Progress recently made by Trump and Kim at Singapore needs for GOP's Conservatives of the 1st to Win the current "Mid-Term" Elections, in order to be able to implement its main clauses...
Indeed, a careful analysis of the landmark Singapore Agreement of June 2018, between new US President Don Trump and North Korea's Leader Kim Jong Un, clearly shows that, in Fact, the establishment of "New Relations", between US and DRPK, "for Peace and Prosperity", as well as "a Peace Regime" throughout all the "Korean peninsula", implying its "complete DeNuclearisation", in exchange of "Security Guarantees" to Northern Korea, need a Positive outcome of the 2018 Mid-Term Election for Trump's conservatives of the Republican Party (GOP).
This was made Obvious, among others, also by an interesting White House's Press Briefing, with new State Secretary Mike Pompeo, during which, a Journalist asked whether a Treaty will have to be adopted by the US, in order give those "Guarantees" to North Korea. This was the Only Question to which Pompeo did Not Reply yet, but skiped without any known explanation...
Simply because the formal Adoption of such a Treaty would necessitate, in practice, a Legal Procedure inside US Congress and Senate, whose Members face, on November 2018, an important "Mid-Term" Election :
=> I.e., GOP's Conservatives would Need to gain a Stronger Majority inside the Senate, in order Not to depend, No more, from 1 or 2 Shaky Votes, (contrary to what is the case until now), as well as to Maintain, more or less, their Clear Majority in the US Congress.
Otherwise, Dems' ("Socialists"/Liberals of US Democratic Party) systematic Opposition, might Block (or Alter) the Text of a Draft Treaty of Guarantees, Undermining the Trump - Kim Deal.
Because, in the eventual Absence of such Guarantees, obviouly, North Korea could Not risk to procede into a Full DeNuclearisation, (particularly as long as, in Addition, Heavy Economic Sanctions still persist).
And, at the Same Time, from the Other Side, the U.S. could Not definitively Lift the Sanctions, as long as North Korea has Not been substantialy DeNuclearized.
In other words, Both must Advance, in Parallel, almost at the Same Time : Guarantees and DeNuclearisation. And this, practically, needs an Efficient Control of Both the US Congress and Senate, from new US President Don Trump, (Comp. above).
In consequence, these 2018 "Mid-Term" Elections are of a Crucial Importance for Peace, given Dems' excessive War-Mongering currently...
Among Many other relevant Facts, it's not due to pure hazard the Fact that, f.ex., former Obama's Under State Secretary for Euro-Asian affairs, Mrs Nuland, known for her Interference in Ukraine's internal affairs, who has pushed towards a Brutal Clash and Bloody Divisions on 2014, cancelling an earlier Compromise Agreement signed by all Parties,
is nowadays living in Brussels from where her Husband reportedly publishes a lot of War-Mongering pseudo-"Analysis", repeating Warnings for a supposed "3rd World War" (sic) trend Against Russia, China, etc. !...
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+ Moreover, an impressive Series of many Facts clearly reveal that Wars risking to Affect Global Peace are a Traditional mark of Dems, while GOP's Conservatives, on the Contrary, are usualy much more enclined to seek Peaceful Agreements, throughout almost All USA's History !
F.ex. :
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- Wilson (Dems) brought USA in the 1st World War, despite substantial public Opposition, particularly from Conservatives. Afterwards, Veterans were Abandoned, without Financial or Education benefits, UnEmployment soared, followed by massive Strikes and Riots. Thus, American People's Majority droped Wilson, and Voted for a Conservative, Warren Harding.
- 2nd World War involvment for USA was Franklin Roosvelt's (Dems) responsibility. Conservative Leader, and his predecessor in US Presidency, Herbert Hoover, was opposed.
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- "Cold" War, and Korea War, added to Maccarthyism oppressive era inside the USA, the Deadly drop of the 1st Nuclear Bomb on Hiroshima - Nagasaki Civilian People, the Beginning of the Clash against Oppenheimer, and Rosenberg couple's Arrest and Conviction to Death, (despite even Albert Einstein's opposal), were ALL due to Harry Truman (Dems).
- On the Contrary, Armistice and Peace in Korea, the End of Maccarhyism and 1st Cold War, (as well as an Historic Plea against the Establishment's Deep State and the "Military-Industrial Complex"), were done during President Dwight Einsenhower, (a conservative).
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- Vietnam War massive Military Interventions and Deadly Mess/Failure, (as well as Oppression against Dissidents inside the USA), were mainly Lyndon Johnson's (Dems) responsibility.
- On the Contrary, Peace in Vietnam, and "Detente" with China and Russia, came during Richard Nixon's presidency, (a Conservative).
+ Followed, Later-on, what is considered as "End of the Cold War" era, with Germany's (and all Europe's) ReUnification, during (Russia's Gorbatchef and USA's) George H. Bush senior (another Conservative).
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- The Bloody Wars in former Yugoslavia (1991-2001), at the Heart of Europe, were mainly a responsibility of Bill Clinton (Dems).
+ As was too the Ukranian Deadly Conflict (with many Civilian Victims, and a persisting Mess), added to a Clash against Russia, during Barack Hussein Obama's era (Dems), which included also the Bloody Syrian Conflict, and ISIS' murderous Islamist Terrorism, (etc).
++ In Addition, North Korea's Nuclear Arms' program apparently started to become potentialy Dangerous around 2013-2017, i.e. practically during Obama II, (Dems).
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- On the Contrary, Not Any War Risking to Affect Global Peace has ever Started, anywhere in the Planet, during New US President Don Trump's mandate, (Conservative).
On the Conrary, he has strived to cultivate Friendly Relations on Political Issues with Chinese and Russian Presidents, (the latter currently Hampered by an obvious Hysteria of Dems), and succeeded to mark an UnPrecedented Historic Advance even with North Korea.
However, its Outcome, now depends, practically, on the 2018 Mid-Term Elections, not just for Korea, (See above), but also on Syria and Ukraine, and other "Hot" Issues...
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People in Europe and the World expect from CoE to make a succes of its "Monitoring" for Human Rights and Democracy, despite difficulties, said Finland's President Tarja Halonen to "EuroFora" at a crucial moment for the mecanism built 15 years ago by the paneuropean organization which celebrates its 60th Anniversary in 2009.
Halonen, known as "Mother" of CoE's "Monitoring" mecanism, a long-time MEP and former Foreign Minister before becoming Finland's President, holds a long experience in the mattter, after also serving twice as CoE and EU Chairwoman in the past. That's why she is well placed to judge how CoE's "monitoring" should deal today with some crucial issues of importance both to CoE and to the EU.
The move came just a Month before a crucial, last visit to Turkey, scheduled for June, by the President of CoE''s "Monitoring" Committee, Ukranian MEP Serge Holovaty, to finalize his Report on Ankara, the CoE Member State with the longest Monitoring procedure. From its results depends its overall credibility.
This is a Test-case, because, in fact, it's in order to avoid Sanctions threatened against Turkey by a CoE's Assembly's April 1995 Resolution for grave Human Rights violations, Democracy gaps, the continuing Military Occupation in Cyprus, the unresolved Kurdish problem, Aegean differend with Greece, etc., that MEPs decided to create, for the 1st time on April 1996, a "Monitoring" proces, allegedly destinated to check, without excluding Countries who did not fulfill all CoE's standards.
In the Past, the obliged withdrawal of Greece's Military regime and of its "Civil" cover-up out of the CoE had helped bring back Democracy in 1974. But, on the contrary, since April 1996, the idea was to "monitor" Human Rights' respect while keeping most concerned Countries inside the CoE. After Turkey's oldest example, this was extended also to several former "Eastern" European Countries, even if CoE's Assembly has imposed to some of them (fex. Ukraine, Russia, etc., after Belarus, Serbia, etc) various "Sanctions", that Ankara always avoided. Curiously more succesful even than .. USA itself, (a CoE "Observer" since 1995), which has been at least threatened with sanctions some years ago..
EU-effects of CoE's Monitoring process became obvious between 2001-2008, since the "closure" of this procedure, when CoE felt that a Country had met most of its Human Rights, Democracy and Rule of Law obligations, (i.e. the "Copenhagen Criteria" for the EU), helped trigger Negotiations with the EU for "Accession" or other closer relations : This occured already before the 2004 and 2007 EU Enlargements to former "Eastern" European Countries, as well as for the commencement of "accession" negotiations with Croatia, and of "open-ended" negotiations with Turkey in 2005.
But a stricking new development are Holovaty's recent findings that on core Human Rights issues as Torture and Freedom of Expression, Turkey, even "5 Years after" CoE closed its "Monitoring", back in 2004, inciting EU to start accession Negotiations in 2005, still presents grave problems.
His findings are of crucial importance after a 2008 CoE Resolution called, "if need be", to "seriously consider the possibility of Re-Opening the Monitoring procedure for Turkey" : A move which might affect Ankara's controversial EU bid, since EU Accession Negotiations are based on the Hypothesis that the Candidate fullfils the "Copenhagen Criteria" (See above)..
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Holovaty expressed his will to check "Matters still Outstanding" and those that he "didn't have an opportunity to discuss" at an earlier visit this year, "in order to discuss the more complex issues in greater depth", at his forthcoming New Visit to Ankara, before the December 2009 EU Summit. This is all based on the 2004 CoE Resolution which stresses that, CoE "will continue.. post-monitoring Dialogue with the Turkish authorities,...in addition to a 12-points list,..and on any Other Matter that might arise in connection with Turkey’s Obligations as a CoE member state".
CoE's Resolution also asks from Turkey "to secure the proper Implementation of Judgements, particularly in the Cyprus v. Turkey InterState case", of 2001, which concerns also the plight of many Hundreds of MISSING People. It adds Turkey's obligations to "execute" ECHR's Judgements in the Loizidou case,..and in particular adopt General Measures to avoid repetition or continuation of Violations found by the Court" to the detriment of Refugees.
Nevertheless, Holovaty said to "EuroFora" that "MISSING" persons,"might be included" and cannot be excluded, but he has yet to examine the situation "to find out which issues will be raised" to the Turkish Government.
Therefore, "EuroFora" asked Halonen, as the Historic "Mother" of CoE's Monitoring mecanism, if she thought that, "whenever there are grave Human Rights Violations, as fex. "MISSING" persons, attested even by ECHR's judgements, they should be always checked by a Monitoring process. Or could they be forgotten ?"
- "We (CoE) must be, at the same time, Fair, Realistic, but not in the mind that "now we have Forgotten", etc., replied to "EuroFora"'s question Halonen, speaking as a matter of general principle.
- "When we think of those People that are suffering from the lack of Democracy, of Human Rights, and of the Rule of Law", "we should find a base on how to deal with the (Monitoring) system more rapidly"', she stressed.
- "Sometimes it's very difficult to combine Transparency and Effectivenes together, particularly in this specific case", she went on to say. But, "I have not found a (CoE Member) Country who could be insensitive in this sens", Halonen answered concerning grave Human Rights violations attested by the ECHR.
- "I have no ready-made answer. I have the expectations that you, in the CoE, will, step by step, find the different types of the monitoring systems."
Also "because this is a part of the UN's Post-Conflict system, (fex. when it comes to Cyprus' MISSING persons), and it's a more Global system". So that, "If we make a succes in Europe, the others will follow", throughout the World. "But they expect that we (Europe) are this opportunity, this Opportunity to make a Succes", Halonen concluded.
In addition, she advised to extend CoE's Monitoring to all its 47 Member States, "because, as long as we hear that, all these monitoring systems are "OK for the neighbor, but not for me", "it's very difficult" to understand. Something which could make easier to Compare...
Finnish MEP Jaako Laakso, former CoE Rapporteur on the Occupied Territories of Cyprus and one of the 5 Signatories of the Historic CoE's call to create the "MONITORING" mecanism since 1996, was more specific : - "We (CoE Assembly) have to find a way for the issue of Cyprus' MISSING People to be better followed", he stressed, anouncing his intention to "speak to Mr. Holovaty" about that. "There might be also other ways", added Laakso.
- The 2008 "Year had been a very Bad one for Turkey with regard to Human Rights in general, and Freedom of Expression in particular", denounced, meanwhile, Holovaty's preliminary Post-Monitoringh Draft Report by Holovaty, published by the CoE on April 2009.
"Amnesty International believes that freedom of expression is not guaranteed given the various articles of the Criminal Code that restrict it. .. "For example, 1,300 Websites are said to have been closed down by the (Turkish) authorities in 2008" ! While "the new Turkish Criminal Code was used to bring a total of 1,072 proceedings between June 2005 and April 2008, and led to the conviction of 192 people", for expressing views. "Representatives of the Özgür Gündem newspaper, which specialises in Kurdish affairs, ..complained about Numerous Attacks on their Freedom of Expression ...as was everyone who advocated a settlement to the question by means other than the intervention of the army" "According to their figures, 19 Newspapers had been suspended 43 times between 4 August 2006 and 4 November 2008" !...
Moreover, on 2008, CoE's "Ministers adopted its 4rth Resolution on the execution of the judgments of the ECHR, ...and outstanding issues regarding 175 Judgements and decisions relating to Turkey delivered between 1996 and 2008... concerning Deaths resulting from the excessive use of force by members of the Security forces, the failure to protect the right to life, the DIisappearance and/or death of individuals, Ill-Treatment and the Destruction of property". CoE's " Ministers urged the Turkish authorities ...to ensure that members of Security forces of all ranks can be prosecuted without administrative
authorisation" for "serious crimes". Holovaty reminded.
"Nonetheless", Holovaty heard anew of "Several cases of Violence committed last year (2008) by the (Turkish) security forces". Amnesty International speaks of Many Cases of ill-treatment and Torture in the prisons and by the police". "Including, fex."'the death of Engin Ceber, a young man of 29 who died on October 2008 as a result of the TORTURE allegedly inflicted on him by police officers, prison staff and members of the gendarmerie. He was part of a group of people arrested on September 2008 during a demonstration and Press Conference in Istanbul'. Proceedings against suspects are "on-going" in this case.
- " I therefore noted an Obvious Contradiction between the Government’s stated “zero tolerance” policy.... of Torture and other forms of ill-treatment, and the different testimonies given", denounced CoE's Rapporteur. Turkish "authorities must make considerable efforts to guarantee that proper investigations are carried out into allegations of abuses by members of the security forces and that perpetrators are effectively punished" "In this respect, I have requested detailed Statistics on the number of Investigations, acquittals and convictions in cases involving allegations of abuse in order to show the positive impact of the measures taken to date", Holovaty said, repeating a permanently unsatisfied CoE's demand to Turkey since a Decade...
- "The Political Crisis that shook the country in the spring of 2008 highlighted the Weaknesses of the (Turkish) Constitution", which comes from the Military regime of 1982, "and the Urgent Need of Reforms", stressed from the outset CoE's Rapporteur in 2009. In particular, "the ...Democratic functioning of state institutions, including the independence of the judicial system, are crucial", he observes.
But, "the Electoral system and the ways in which it is circumvented do not appear to give those elected complete Legitimacy, and tend to pervert the course of direct universal suffrage", denounces Holovaty, observing that, even 5 Years later, Turkey did not yet change the 10% nationwide Threshold for a party to take any seat, which is "far higher" than the "3%" maximum in Europe and already condemned as contrary to European Standards by the CoE.
+ Moreover, EU Parliament's 2009 Report on Turkey, drafted by Dutch MEP Ria Oomen-Ruijten and adopted in Strasbourg on March, expresses "Concern over the Failure of the (Turkish) Judiciary to prosecute cases of Torture and Ill-treatment, the Number of which is Growing". EU also "is concerned about continuing Hostility and Violence against Minorities" in Turkey. It also "calls on the Turkish Government to launch, as a matter of Priority, a Political Initiatve favouring a lasting Settlement of the Kurdish issue, (while "condemning violence.. and terrorist groups"). EU "regrets that No progress has been made on establishing full, systematic Civilian suprevisory functions over the (Turkish) Military".
The final results of Holovaty's 2nd and last visit to Turkley will be known later this year, and, at any case, before EU's December 2009 Summit.