Sarkozy slams Hasty EU+€uro Enlargement Past Deals (1999-2001) cause of Debt in Greece+ €uroZone
*Brussels/Angelo Marcopolo/- In what looks as a 1st move to start denouncing in public what "EuroFora" has criticized since 12/2009 as the real Cause of the Debt currently hitting Greece in €uroZone, and fight against it accordingly in order to become more Efficient, French President Nicmolas Sarkozy clearly accused Past Decisions (i.e. 1999-2001) related to EU's and €uro's Enlargements, even without due preparation, to be at the origin of present problems, at the eve of a crucial week for future developments, whose Policy Choices monopolized a quite Enigmatic Press Conference by German Chancellor Angie Merkel, at the end of June 2011's EU Summit :
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- In fact, at least if EU is limited just to the Measures already decided until now, for the moment, "we haven't finished to pay for (Past) decisions to Enlarge €uro and the EU !", Sarkozy denounced in reply to questions on Greece and €uroZone.
- Particularly for those (EU/€uroZone's Enlargements) which were Unprepared, i.e. even "without having taken all (necessary) Measures on Economic Governance, comparable Competitiveness, Fiscal Harmonization, etc", the French President added topically, obviously referring to the recent EU Measures decided (after an initial Franco-German proposal, presented together with German Chancellor Merkel : See "EuroFora"s 12/2010 and 3/2011 NewsReports from Freiburg's and Brussels' Summits), from now on, for all Future EU/€uroZone Countries.
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+ EU Commissioner in charge of Economic/Monetary issues, Oli Rehn from Finland, had also recently criticized a German "Green" MEP, during an EU Parliament Committee's debate, for his Party's Past stance during the Schroeder/Fischer "Socialist-Green" Government coalitions around 2000, accused for having been "too Laxist" on the €uro area, (at the same time that they notoriously pushed for Turkey's controversial and unpopular EU bid)....
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A move which fits, perfectly well, "EuroFora"s critical Analysis and denonciation of the a 1999-2001 Politico-Financial Deal, according to which, the then "Socialist"" Greek Government had been helped to win (even with a razor-thin Majority), the 4/2000 Elections, thanks to an EU Decision for Greece's too early entry into €uroZone, even without having previously made the necessary Reforms in order to absorb, or at least diminish, a big and growing Debt, which had originated in a 1980-2000 Nepotist, Clientelist and largely Corrupted Era's Mass Hiring, mainly of cronies or lackey's of some politicians, in the State, Public Sector, Media, etc, often in counter-productive posts.
In "exchange", that former "Socialist" Government had to drop all earlier objections of Greece against Turkey's controversial and unpopular EU bid, (f.ex. on War Threats at the Aegean Sea and Territorial Revencications, Military Occupation of the Norhern part of Cyprus, serious Human and Rights Violations, lack of Democracy, Oppression of Religious and Ethnic Minorities, etc). But, as it is well known, the Debt notoriously hidden on 1999-2001 with technical Manipulations by USA's Goldman Sachs, False "EuroStat" Numbers, etc., suddenly, "blew" up under the 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis and Speculators' Attacks.
So that now, the right remedy could not be limited just into taking Money from Production and/or from Poor People's Economies, which obviously risk to kill Growth, provoking Recession which would diminish the State's Revenues, and/or to risk dangerous social explosions by provoking a feeling of Injustice, respectively. It's much more vis a vis that Salaries' Mass of cushy-job holders and various cronies, lackeys, etc., hired by former mainly "Socialist" Governments during 1980-2000+, that actions obviously should be directed, in order to Stop Wasting precious Taxpayers' Money, reimburse eventually scandalously perceived for 2 Decades Public Funds, and avoid that this counter-productive Mass of Nepotism's Cronies, doesn' even get, now, some 2O or 30 Years more in Retirement benefits, etc. ...
I.e. a rare opportunity to join Truth, Justice and Morality together with Economifc Efficiency and Financial Economies, which could be strongly supported even by growing Popular Movements in Greece and elsewhere in the EU, denouncing Corruption and failed politicians, even asking for Investigations in order to find and punish all those responsible for this counter-productive and Financialy catastrophic waste, without bureaucratic Time limits, nor Prescription or any other kind of Time Deadlines, until the situation is really settled. (See previous, relevant "EuroFora"s Publications, since 12/2009+).
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- But, meanwhile, "we (EU) had to deal with all that during a Global Crisis !.. inside a World where Billions circulate in an incredible Speed", and while "in Greece, Interest Rates grew + 30% in one and a half year, so that the Situation became Difficult, the Greek Government being unable to react alone", the French President observed.
- Nevertheless, in recent Economic issues, Europe succeeded to face the Global Crisis and prove its capacity to resist to all Crisis, €uro's parity to Dollar is largely Positive (1,40+), EU's Deficit is the Half of that of USA's, and "until now, we succeeded to overcome all challenges", Sarkozy noted optimistically, observing also that, in 2 out of 3 cases, (i,e. in Ireland and in Portugal, unlike Papandreou's Greece), the Economic situation had been succesfuly brought under control, after EU reactions.
- "I am well aware of the Gravity of the Situation, ..but, all the times, we (EU) found a Solution, and Catastrophes were avoided, nevertheless", he added. + Moreover, "440 Billions €" are now guaranteed for facing such kind of problems, he observed, pointing at the adoption of the Permanent EU Stabilization Mechanism, officialy by this June 2011 EU Summit.
+ Indeed, Sarkozy's typical reaction to various attacks against EU's internal life, and on EU's Neighborhood, always was, from the start, to seize the opportunity of a Defensive Reaction in order not only to take care of the Urgencies, but also to Start Building something New in the EU, which would make it permanently more resiliant and stronger.
- "Naturally, it wasn't easy, with 27 Countries, 27 Histories, 27 Cultures, 27 Identities, etc"; the French President observed, hinting at the need to create 1 unique EU Identity; obviously indispensable for a Political Europe to exist.
=> "There is really a (Political) Will to save the €uro" Currency, and "to ensure the Solidarity of €uroZone, which is extremely Strong", concluded Sarkozy.
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+ Shortly afterwards, German Chancellor Angie Merkel was invited by several other Journalists to go further in details, as well as to consider various alternative solutions, and measures, according to eventual developments Next Week.
Merkel didn't have an opportunity to use exactly the same terms as Sarkozy (see supra), but at least some of her replies, left an impression that the German Chancellor might have started also to realize much more things than she said explicitly...
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- "We (EU Summit)...have as Leaders once again very made it clear, that will do everything to stabilize the €uro as a whole"; Merkel confirmed. + We agreed on the Permanent Stabilization Mechanism, the ESM, and we have managed to adapt the ESFSF. We are on the issue of economic Governance - that is, what is always referred to by experts as a "6 pack" - in the final meters and are in phase of agreement with the European Parliament" she noted.
+ And "We have encouraged the countries of Portugal and Ireland as well as Greece,to continue consistently the path that is dictated by the programs negotiated by the troika", she added.
- "Regarding Greece, we noted that Now the most important Laws on Privatization and Fiscal consolidation must be implemented, once these laws will be approved in the Greek Parliament", hopefully next week.
. Once this done, EU will finalize, on the agreed "Basis", the Basis .. for a "New Program, that will get the necessary additional funds from and Private sources, through informal and voluntary extension of the Greek current liabilities ...in order to achieve a substantial reduction of the necessary funds under the program, although of course the non-payment must be avoided. ", according to the decision earlier taken by EU Finance Ministers. ..
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- Replying to a question on "the Greek Opposition Leader" Antonis Samaras (See "EuroFora"s earlier NewsReport from Brussels, yesterday), Merkel said that "there was ... an Agreement yesterday to allow the Legislative process in Parliament can begin", and, optimistically but carefully added that she was "quite confident".
However, Merkel almost eluded a Journalist's question whether "it would be sufficient if the opposition leader said: "In Principle I agree with the Goals, but I want other Individual measures" ?
- "My Talks with the opposition leader (Samaras) made it clear that for stability in Greece certainly it would be very Desirable if the opposition could also agree, as has happened in Ireland and how it has happened in Portugal. We have said yesterday at the EPP meeting with all clarity: the more consistent, the better for Greece, the better for the euro, and so much the better for us all"
But, ">>> The Greek prime minister (Papandreou) is determined to implement his ideas with a parliamentary majority in the Greek Parliament.
>>> - "Now we will see what will happen..... But again. Better a broader support" she concluded", once again giving a slight impression that this would certainly be good, but perhaps not so necessary as some say...
- "We (EU) must now proceed Step by Step with Greece", the German Chancellor added later-on, saying that she does "Not want to take position on the Talks", due to go on between EU Finance Ministers, the Troika, Private Investors and the Greek Government, preferring to see first Greece officially undertake its "obligations", "then, see the Total Sum" of Money really needed, and, afterwards examine "what can be achieved through a voluntary participation of the Private sector", later-on, etc.
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However, Merkel appeared to approach, at least partly, a key observation by the Greek Opposition (ChristianDemocrat/EPP) Leader Samaras, (who mainly accepts, even stronger Privatizations and Economies, but asks to help Production in order to generate Resources enabling to pay back the Debt), in reply to an interesting Question on Greece's "Competitiveness" :
- "EU Commission's presentation on "Europe 2020" showed that Greece was at (only) 0.53 £ of GDP on Research and Development, down at the lowest rank, flanked by Romania and Bulgaria. Do you seriously believe that there are sufficient parameters for Greek Economy's Competitiveness, in order to pull itself out of the crisis ?", another journalist critically wondered.
- Merkel acknowledged that "it is a Fact that too Little is spent on Research and development" recently in Greece, but, in addition, "also ..that the Community funds - are not exploited - for example, from the Cohesion Fund", due to lack of Money in Greece to co-fund projects.
- "Therefore, it is only right and proper and good that the (EU) Commission wants to Support Greece on this path", the German Chancellor replied, obviously referring to EU Commission President Barroso's proposal to ease the Financial Conditions allowing Athens to use the EU Funds already earmarked for Greece.
+ Concerning particularly "Research", Merkel positively stressed that, "of course, one must make so that participation in European Research projects funded by the European Research Council is indeed possible, based on Excellence criteria", and not merely on Money.
=>"Therefore, an effort must be made at this point, of course, to allow Greece to strengthen its Competitiveness as well as possible. I am convinced that the people of Greece can certainly achieve that", Merkel pointed out. .
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But, when she was questioned on "the Emphasis put on the Parliamentary Voting Next Week in Greece", about a proposed Long-Term Financial Package and its Conditions, "what might happen, if the vote goes against the reforms and the bailout?"; Merkel preferred to stick to "Assumptions", without "speculating" :
- "I am assuming that everything is done to give to the Vote a Positive outcome, and therefore I don't want not even to Speculate", the contrary", she warned.
- "I also assume that (EU) finance ministers at their meeting (shortly afterwards) on (Sunday) 3rd July, will settle all aspects, so that the solidarity aid to Greece can be solved", Merkel added, pointing at a Link between the Greek Parliament's Vote and the EU Finance Ministers' decisions.
+ Similar Caution was expressed by Merkel also on anoher Question concerning whether the forthcoming "2nd Aid Package" "will be Enough to stabilize Greece in the Long-run", or not :
-" There is always the case that these aid packages are based on Assumptions ...about economic Growth, Revenu assumptions, assumptions that have something to do with the World economy as a whole", etc. she observed.
=> That's why, "we must look again and again: Will things go as hey were supposed to do ? This should be now further checked on a Quarterly basis", Merkel replied carefully. "We must look from quarter to quarter, even if the assumptions prove to be true"; she added.
- "But I have confidence in the 3 institutions :'' in the (EU) Commission, the IMF and the ECB, to negotiate now to the best knowledge and belief, a program that has a Good Chance, and, then, to provide the Desired Results.. Now, that is negotiated to the best of my knowledge and belief of the parties', Merkel concluded, indicating anew that several decisions still remain to be taken in due course, according to forthcoming developments...
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Meanwhile, the Official EU Summit's Conclusions "call on Finance Ministers to complete work ... to allow the necessary Decisions to be taken by Early July" (i.e. shortly after the Greek Parliament's Vote : See supra), while also warning that, "given the Length, Magnitude and Nature of the required Reforms in Greece, National Unity is a prerequisite for Success".
However, until now, it seems to be a Fact that the only main point on which appears already to exist a large "National Unity" in Greece today (including for the Demonstrators currently filling Athens' central streets), is particularly, the Need to Fight against Corruption in the Public Sector, i.e., precisely a key point according to "EuroFora"s above mentioned analysis. (See supra)...
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At any case, "€uro area Heads of State or Government reiterate their Commitment to do whatever is necessary to ensure the Stability of the €uro area as a whole".
- "The Recovery in the €uro area is Well on Track; and has reached a Sustainable path of Solid Growth", EU leaders stressed. "The €uro is based on Sound Fundamentals, and we are deeply Satisfied with the track record of Price Stability achieved Since the Inception of the €uro", they remind.
(NDLR : DraftNews, as already send earlier to "EuroFora"'s Subscribers/Donors. A complete and more accurate Final Public Version is due asap).
***
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Swedish Foreign Minister, Carl Bildt, speaking to "EuroFora", denied rumors on Turkey's attempts to avoid an EU check of its obligations on Cyprus on December 2009 by blackmailing Nicosia to either accept any deal with intransigeant Turkish claims contrary to EU values on the island's political issue, or face threats against the territorial integriy of the EU island, semi-occupied by Ankara's army.
On the contrary, the incoming EU President-in-office, speaking exclusively to "EuroFora", promissed that he will act for EU Council's decisions on December 2009 assessment of Turkey's commitments on Cyprus to be kept.
Bildt was asked to react to Cyprus' President Christofias' denunciation, earlier this week, that some want to exert "pressure" on Cyprus in order for Turkey to escape from its obligations.
Avoiding to mention any precise Deadline, Bildt, however, warned about "Consequences" in case of "failure" to reunite Cyprus, but without saying whose responsibility an eventual deadlock might be.
Asked by "EuroFora" if there is a risk for "Turkey's commitments to "be forgotten or downgraded", "despite crystal-clear EU Council decisions and EU Parliament's latest Resolution on the assessment to make at the end of this year on Turkey's obligations", according to rumours that, instead of pressing Turkey, on the contrary, there might be "pressure on Cyprus", even "blackmail", as Media reported and President Christofias denounced this week, Bildt denied :
- "No ! ", he clearly replied.
- On the contrary, invited by "EuroFora", to "reassure that the Swedish EU Presidency (7-12/2009) will keep a fair stance, based on principles", Bildt promised that "we (Swedish EU Presidency) will be very clear on all of the decisions taken by the (EU) Council".
He added, however, that "we have very numerous decisions that have been taken" by EU Council, as if he warned, also, on something else.
- "'I am not aware of any sort of statements coming out today''", Bildt started to say, on our reference to Cyprus' President Christofias" denunciation of Turkish lobby's manoeuvers this week, replying earlier to 'another"EuroFora"'s question during a Press Conference at EU Parliament in Strasbourg.
- '"I know the issues that you' are concerned with'", he added, remembering the statements he gave us when Sweden was chairing the PanEuropean CoE on 2008.
- "But, obviously, .. I think that Cyprus' Peace negotiations are extremenly important".
- And "'I think that we are at a unique moment in History, in the sens that both (Cyprus') President Christofias and Mr. Talat (the Turkish Cypriot leader), are personally convinced of the need to overcome the division".
- "It's 20 Years since the fall of Berlin Wal, but we still have a Capital in Europe (Nicosia) that's divided". ,
- 'I don't that we should loose any time in overcoming that"..
- ''We should be aware of the fact that success will bring great benefits, but failure, will also have major consequences. There will not be Status Quo' " It's a question of seeking a solution, or entering another situation, which is somewhat difficult to see exactly how that could evolve", he warned.
- "That being said, this is a negotiation for Cyprus itself", Bildt admitted.
- ''We (EU) can support, the (EU) Commission primarily, be technically helpful, and then, of course, there is a specific role for the UN, when it comes to the Cyprus' situation".
- "At least so far. It might not be for ever'. Certainly not for ever, but for this period of time", Bildt added, skiping now any reference to concrete threats on UNO's Peace keeping force in face of more than 40.000 Ankara's soldiers, contrary to some Press claims, (See previous NewsReports).
Replying to another "EuroFora"'s Question, if anyone might attempt to "impose a Deadline for the conclusion" of Cyprus' Talks on December 2009, Bildt avoided to speak of any precise Time-frame, and indirectly evoked the fact that 35 Years of Turkish Invasion/Occupation obviously durated too long :
'- "If I was from Cyprus, I would say that the Deadline was Yesterday ! '",
Bildt concluded.
Cyprus' Government Spokesman, Stephanou, reportedly pointed out that "a settlement is possible on December if Turkey changes its stance", accepting a solution for the reunification of the island based on UNO resolutiona and EU principles.
Earlier, EU Chair, Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeld, highlighted an "historic opportunity" to "re-Unite" Cyprus according to EU's "basic Values"' (i.e. Human Rights) and 'Rules'", in a last-minute change of his draft speech to EU Parliament in Strasbourg.
The initial Draft spoke only about "healing" the island.
Significantly, Reinfeldt linked Cyprus' reunification with Turkey's obligations to respect EU's "Values" and "follow" EU's "common Rules" :
- What is "called Membership Negotiations" should lead, "at- the end of the day", into "sharing a set of common Basic Values (i.e. Human Rights, Democracy, etc), and following common Rules", stressed Reinfeld from the outset.
- "This is something that those on the Outside (of the EU), are now contemplating", up "to Ankara", for "a solution" on "Cyprus", observed the EU Chairman, immediately afterwards..
- "Both sides of Cyprus have been granted a historic opportunity to together reach an agreement on a solution to re-Unite the island, that has been divided for far too long", said Reinfeldt, modifying his draft text.
- "The Swedish Presidency will act ...in accordance with Commitments EU has made, on the basis of Criteria that apply", "as a Honest Broker", he promised.
- "To those on the inside (of the EU), allowing the membership process to become an opportunity to solve protracted disputes, can be tempting", he added.
"In such cases, we must find solutions that can benefit both sides, and open up a way forward. Otherwise, it would jeopardize the progress we have made towards EU integration", Reinfeldt said.