Sarkozy chairing 1st G-20 meeting urges Action on Monetary + Food Rules for World Economy Recovery
*Paris/Elysee Palace/Angelo Marcopolo/- Welcoming the 1st G-20 meeting in 2011 of Economic Governance Elite from 25 Countries totalling "85% of World's GDP" and Heads of relevant International Organizations (IMF, World Bank, OECD, UN, EU, etc), at a crucial juncture for World Economy's Recovery "after the worst Global Crisis of the last 60 Years", and while Popular uprisings pop up throughout the surounding Mediterranean and Middle East areas, in an explosive Mix of aspirations for Democracy and against Poverty, the incoming G-8 and G-20 Chairman, French President Sarkozy, warned that World's Public Opinion will judge severely if they fail to advance at least on "essential" issues such as Monetary and Food (Raw Materials) stability, necessary for a sustainable, strong and balanced Growth.
Appearing decided to make any useful proposal able to overcome eventually blocking discords, Sarkozy even added orally to his initial draft speech the idea for most G-20 Countries which agree together on a key point, to advance forward, without being obliged to wait for those who hesitate or obstruct a deal, so that a breakthrough, beneficial to Global Recovery, could be created by a kind of World's avant-guard. Above all, what counts most, is "not to be confused into never-ending discussions about those "Indicators" (NDLR : of Imbalances in economic relations, f.ex. in Foreign Trade, Exports; Accounts, etc), which would deviate us from what is Essential". Because "Nothing would be worse than to refuse to deal with the Real Issues, .. such as the Monetary World order, and the Volatility of Raw Materials" (such as Oil and Food, etc), Sarkozy clearly stressed, almost warning that the recent Hunger riots revealed the "No 1 Risk", (See infra).
- "Therefore, it's our Responsibility, and that of Heads of State and Government" of the G-20, "to bring Responses to the Big Questions raised Today in the Global Economy", the French President stressed, warning that "there are Hundreds of Millions of People Worldwide who have their eyes turned upon us wondering whether we shall succeed to advance, or not, particularly on the most important Issues" (See supra). "'By chosing an Ambitious Agenda, we chose to be Careful", simply because, given the circomstances, it would have been irreponsible not to set Ambitious targets in front of today's challenges. At any case, "we don't have the right to fail, nor to ignore the "Red Lines" of each other", being obliged to find solutions, in one war or another, particularly when the eyes of International Pubic Opinion are turned towards us", Sarkozy concluded, applauded.
- "Since last year, the Recovery was restored", "faster than scheduled", "but unequal according to Geographic areas, Global Growh isn't yet enough in order to bring substantial drops in Unemployment", while, the experience of the Crisis showed that International Coordination is the only way allowing to renew with a High Level of Growth", so that "Coordination became a Duty", he observed.
- "Our 1st Duty, as G-20 Chair, is to implement the Decisions already taken earlier, .. in particular by the Corean Presidency (2010)", and there where G-20 has already done a "considerable" work, as "on Financial Regulation". Because "our Citizens are Questioning the Reality of our action : It must be clear that we won't accept, anymore, that the practices which led us to the Crisis restart again : There won't be any come-back of "Business as Usual", Sarkozy warned, citting, f.ex., the issue of "Bonus", etc., and asking for "all Financial centres" to "apply the decisions we took at Pittsbourg's earlier G-20 Summit, and to make sure that we have a "spotless Financial Regulation".
- "Another great Acquis of G-20 is the Coordination of Economic Policies", where, "if we don't do anything, then, Global imbalances will deepen again". "Even if it's more Difficult to find a Consensus in times of Recovery", when "the temptation to give Priority to National Interests is big", "But that would bring the Death of G-20", he warned, calling to stick to the agreed "Framework for a Sustainable Growth", instead. In order to "advance on the Mandate entrusted by Heads of State/Government" at "Seoul" (South Korea), Therefore, "tomorrow (Friday) morning you shall debate on the common Indicators of Imbalances, in order to better focus on the Corective Measures that each one has to take in order to re-equilibrate growth";
+ But, what is "essential" is to deal with "the Real Issues", as the "Monetary" global governance and the "Volatility of Raw Materials' Prices", which need our "mobilisation", "in face of 2 Dangers against Growth", Sarkozy alerted (comp. supra) :
(a) The "1st Risk", are "inflationary trends, pushed by Raw Materials' Prices' augmentation", which "are both an Economic issue, which threatens the on-going Recovery, a Social issue, risking Hunger Riots, and a Development issue, for the poorest countries", he made it clear.
This is not against Market Economy, because there is No Market without Rules, but only the Law of the Jungle, explained the Center-Right politician, "proposing a Global Strategy with the Ambition to struggle against Volatility" of Prices, "to Regulate the Derivates' Market, to augment the Transparency of Physical Markets, and to Strengthen Food Security".
Already, in addition to EU Parliament, this same week in Strasbourg (See previous "EuroFora"'s NewsReport), also "the World Bank", chaired by American "Robert Zoelick" (chosen by former U.S. President George W. Bush), and even "the UNO", from the UN Development program Administrator "Helen Clark", (both present in Paris), up to the UN Rapporteur on the "Human Right to Food", (See previous "EuroFora" NewsReport"), etc., "have made Interesting Proposals, that G-20 must take over", Sarkozy observed.
Moreover, "I am strongly convinced that, going well beyond the Immediate Measures that we can propose (i.e. to prevent Hunger Riots, etc), we must also rehabilitate Peasants' role in our Societies", the French President highighted.
(b) "2nd Risk : "Currencies' Volatility and Capital Movements : The Reform of the Monetary World Order cannot wait no more", the incoming G-8 and G-20 Chairman stressed.
- "It's not about any kind of Ideology, nor against anyone", pointed out Sarkozy, anouncing also that "the Chinese Government invites us to Shen Zhen" on March "in order to reflect on this issue, in the framework of a Seminar" open to Wider participation.
- "I'm convinced that the Emergence of New Economic Powers will inevitably lead to the emergence of New World Currencies", the French President explained, warning that "the on-going Transition can be a factor of Instability", as "it's already the case on Capital flux, more and more Volatiles, Currency Stocks, which are reaching exceptional Levels, and on offers of reserve assets", etc.
- "In all these areas, you (G-20) should be able to work on the Rules of the game, which impies that IMF will have Strengthened Monitoring tools and powers", considering also that, "at the Heart of (G-8 + G-20 French Presidency's proposals lies the Ambition to Strengthen IMF's role, which must become, more than ever, the Corner-Stone of International Monetary cooperation", Sarkozy pointed out.
- Already, IMF and G-20, etc. are among the Basis of what could become the New Global Economic Governance in the Future, he observed, while anouncing that, "for 2011, it's essential for us to agree on a Work Program, and on the First concrete Reforms".
----------------
Last but not least, "on Development issues, which have become part of G-20's Agenda since the Seoul summit (2010)", which gave also "a mandate on the UN Report on Funding the fight against Climate Change", (in the logic of UNO's Copenhagen Summit of 12/2009 : Comp. "EuroFora"s NewsReports from the spot),
as he reminded, the French President cited 3 Points :
- "We've set up a High-Level Panel on Infrastructures, in order to act in the Long term", and "it will be for the Cannes' (G-20, November 2011) Summit, to identify ... the Infrastructure Projects and their Funding, as well as to take commitments for their realization", he anounced.
- "On the Short term, I'd ask you to stand Ready to act in order to help our Tunisian and Egyptian friends, on the road towards Democracy and Economic/Social progress", so that "a Succesful Transformation on which Tunisia and Egypt are committed, would also be our succes, as G-20", Sarkozy pleaded.
- But, considering "the question of (Financial) Means to be dedicated for Development", things look nasty : - "Almost all our Budgets are in Deficit, but we have undertaken certain Commitments, and we mustn't fail to fulfill our Promisses. What can we do ?", he wondered.
"This question inevitably raises that of Innovative Funding", where "I'm convinced that even the sightest Tax on Financial Transactions, would be both Just, Useful and Efficient", even if "this raises a lot of Opposition", so that he also suggested that willing Countries advance forward, even if some others hesitated, and expressed "the wish to Debate on that" : "Several Countries have already adopted" IFs, and "I confirmed to Bill " ... a Mission on Development Funding, both with necessary Public Aid, and with Innovative Funds, in order to present his Conclusions to the Heads of State and Government at the Canne's (G-20) Summit", on November, he anounced, inviting to "start with an open mind the Debate that will launch Christine Lagarde tomorrow", because "the World expects from the International Community to keep its Promisses".
------------------
Concluding on a Strategic point, the incoming G-8 + G-20 Chairman stressed that, "in order to realize those Priorities, we must also adapt the Global Governance to the new World and the challenges of the 21st Century : "
- That's why "we created the G-20, at a 1st stage", and "revised" the role of IMF and World Bank". But, "to advance further, we need more reactive, more coherent and more Representative Organizations", he explained. F.ex., if the IMF is to become a Regulatory body, then, the question of its Reform will be inevitably raised", Sarkozy concluded his speech, before greeting the participants, one by one, and unexpectedly walking right in front of a surprised "EuroFora".
----------------
- "'Experts will start now Drafting a global Deal, working probaby overNight, while anything may change the sirtuation up to the last minute", i.e. until tomorrow, Saturday afternoon, a Spokesman from the chairng French Finance and Economy Ministry warned "EuroFora", while Finance Ministers, Central Bank Governors and International Organizations' Heads were leaving an adjacent building at Elysée Palace after a Reception hosted by President Sarkozy and a Working Diner with French Economy Minister Lagarde, at precisely 9.30 p.m. local time (Greenwich +1).
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- "The most important issues seem, indeed, to be those of Monetary and Food (raw materials) governance, but, in fact, there is a larger scope which should better be examined with the speciaists of the (chairing) Economy Ministry", pointed out to "EuroFora" an experienced Sarkozy's counsellor.
-------------------------------------------
Brazil's especially negative stance against regulating Raw Materials, and in particular of Agricultural products, mainly Food, (only partially shared by Argentina, who seems, in fact, more interested in Metals, such as Copper, etc), appears Difficult to explain with legitimate motifs :
As reported by Brazilian sources, it consists to claim that those who ask to regulate Food prices wouldn't mind if they fell down, being concerned only when they rise, and that, at any case, this problem could be settled by more Investment to Agricultural production.
But this obviously doesn't explain why Brazil, at least, doesn't ask to regulate both abnormaly High and abnormaly Small Prices of Agricultural Products, so that it could find a guarantee against a subsequent eventually "low" period in the markets. Moreover, it doesn't explain how People will be able to Invest in Agriculture, as it says, without even being able to seriously calculate costs and benefits because of unpredictable and excessive price variations,...
So that Brazilian Government's negative stance against Food Price's regulation inevitably appears either as shortsighted or as hidding, perhaps, another, non-explicitated, real motivation, "EuroFora" was obliged to conclude, after a short but clear Dialogue with Brazilian sources.
------------------------------------------------
Meanwhile, if it were to judge by appearances, ... Fed's Chief Bern Bernanke, curiously always late both to arrive and to leave from Elysee Palace (may be because having to deal with several issues in depth), appeared changed : Smiling and surrounded by People at his arrival, Bernanke left, afterwards, alone, avoiding the Press and looking thoughtful...
On the contrary, European Central Bank's chief, Truchet, left Elysée palace in the middle of a group of people, and particularly smiling, even joking with Press Reporters (that he will say "nothing before" tomorrow afternoon's conclusion : Comp. supra).
Could it be, perhaps, also because the French President, learning fast the Copenhagen lesson on how to prevent another kind of eventually blocking "G-2", (as observers named US. President Obama's sudden move, during UNO's Cimate Change Summit on December 2009, to make a "minus" deal with China : See "EuroFora"s NewsReports from the spot), this time took the initiative to agree with "the Chinese Government to invite us (G-20) at the end of March to reflect on... Currencies' volability and Capitals' movements", in "a Seminar widely open to the Academic community and States non-membersto G-20" ?
Last, but not least, the organizer and Host of G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Banks' Governors, French Minister of Economy, Christine Lagarde, left later Elysee Palace's area together with a group of collaborators full of documents, finding only a large smile to give to Press Reporters who complained to have stayed "even late Night in the Cold", as an experimented collegue rightfully observed, after patiently waiting for "Hot" News..
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The official presentation of a "Program" respecting People's choices voted in the June 7, 2009 EU Elections, to be debated in EU Council and EU Parliament during its 1st Session on July in Strasbourg, is the No 1 Priority, according to Democratic principles, for the Franco-German axis, said the main winners at the ballot box, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angie Merkel.
They stressed that the New EU Commission's President must have a "Program" in favor of an EU which "protects" its Citizens, regulates financial markets and aims at a "Political" Europe" : a wording they have used as incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid.
They also declared ready for a "political" endorsment of "Mr. Barroso's candidacy" in June's EU Council, considering that an official decision would have to be made after EU Parliament's debates and votes, possibly from next month (July), with the legally necessary final acceptance shortly after Lisbon Treaty's entry into force, hoped for September or October.
- "A Program, and Mr. Barroso" : This resumes, in substance, the anouncements made by Sarkozy and Merkel, on the question of current EU Commission's President, Barroso's declared wish to succeed to himself for a second mandate, to be extended during the following 5 years.
In their 1st meeting after EU Elections, they observed that "the Franco-German axis counted in European Elections' campaign... But, we both keep a realistic view : We saw the number of those who abstained, and we must absolutely give them an answer. We also see the disilusionment of an important number of Europeans vis a vis Europe, and we are aware of the responsibilities we have".
- The "Duty" of the new EU Commission's President, after June 7, 2009 EU Elections' result, "is to act for a Europe which protects the Europeans, to commit himself into working for a better Regulation of Financial transactions, ... and to have a Political will for Europe", underlined Sarkozy.
Therefore, "we have asked M. Barroso... to clarify, to officialy present the intentions he has", he anounced.
- "We want to speak also about the Programme", explained Merkel.
- "It's important that for the next EU Parliament's mandate (2009-2014) we take the right Decisions for Europe. Obviously on Persons, but mainly Decisions on Issues", she stressed.
- "It's not simply a question of a Person, it's also a question of a Programme". We are "really asking Mr. Barroso to commit himself on a Program, and on Principles, on Values", Sarkozy added.
EU President-in-office, Czech Prime Minister Jan Fischer, accepted the Franco-German stance :
- "Barroso must present his Programme. The Czech Presidency agrees with that", Fischer reportedly said later, after meeting Sarkozy.
But Press reports from Brussels claimed that Barroso had preferred to be officially appointed by EU Council since June, (i.e. next week), "because this was implied by the current Treaty of Nice, according to him", and considered any delay until the possible ratification of the new, Lisbon Treaty on September/October, as "undemocratic".
- "At any case, independently of what Germany and France ask, it's also EU Parliament's wish". "We shall propose Mr Barroso's candidacy... But even in the framework of Nice Treaty, EU Parliament has to be associated in this Decision", the French President observed.
If this is correctly done, then "we support Mr. Barroso's candidature", and "if the (EU) Parliament agrees, we might ratify this decision since July", (i.e. next month), they both said.
- "France and Germany support Baroso's candidacy, But we want to speak also on the Program. We believe that this Program should be established in close cooperation with EU Parliament, and that's why we have followed an appropriate way", said Merkel. - If EU Parliament wants, this election can take place on July, but this must be done in full agreement.
- "We shall support Mr. Barroso's candidacy, without doubt", said Sarkozy. "But we have asked from Mr. Barroso, as I told him yesterday, to put into detail.. his intentions, at the eve of his 2nd mandate, if the situation avails itself.
France and Germany "don't want to take an Official Legal Decision by writting" during "the next (EU) Council" (on June 18-19), declared Sarkozy. Because they prefer, at this stage, only "a Political decision" on June, "so that we (EU Council) can work together with EU Parliament", which starts to meet only Next Month, since July in Srasbourg, "leaving a Legal decision by writting for later".
- "If the Conditions are fuillfiled in EU Parliament, we (EU Council) are ready to give the agreement and make it offficial", said Merkel
- "But, now we are working in the base of Nice Treaty. If tommorow we want to work in the spirit of Lisbon Treaty, we have to find a proper way", she added.
- "Of course it's Legally complicated, because we are going to make a Political proposal to the forthcoming Council, for an EU Commission's President, on the basis of Nice Treaty : So, we (EU Council) will not appoint the Commissioners. Only the President. If EU Parliament agrees, it could endorse this position on July", explained Sarkozy.
But, on Autumn, "if Ireland ratifies Lisbon Treaty, there will be, at any case, a 2nd Decision, to appoint the Commission's President, this time on the basis of Lisbon treaty, and then, we, the EU Member States, would have to appoint (also) the EU Commissioners", he added.
As for the precise Timing : - "Everything is suspended until the Irish vote... Now, we must all make everything possible to help Ireland to say "Yes"" to Lisbon Treaty... The Irish Referendum, ..will take place either on September or on October. It's a Question which depends on the Irish. And, then, we shall have the Choice of the Candidates for the permanent Institutions of Europe".
However, "if Ireland says No, we, French and Germans, have to assume our responsibilities, and we'll do so", he concluded.
But British and Swedish governments were reportedly eager to have a final EU Council decision on Barroso since this month, on June's European Council. While the other EU Member Countries are divided, several of them preferring to wait until EU Parliament pronounces itself, on July, and/or until Lisbon Treaty might be ratified by Ireland at the beginning of the Autumn. Barroso's current mandate ends on November.
There are also various, contradictory and/or unpredictable reactions inside EU Parliament vis a vis Barroso's wish to continue a 2nd mandate, because many MEPs are openly or secretly opposed, reluctant, or hesitating.
In the biggest EU Countries, as France and Germany, EU Citizens voted on June 2009 EU Elections for a renovated, non-technocratic but Political Europe which cares for its Citizens, with an Identity, Values and Borders, declared incompatible with Turkey's controversial EU bid, by mainstream, pro-European Governing Parties. Similar choices were also supported in several other small or medium EU Countries.
On the contrary, whenever, in other Countries, Governing and other mainstream Parties didn't make these choices or eluded them, EU Citizens massively voted for euro-Sceptics whenever they were the only ones to to promise anti-bureacratic change and oppose Turkey's demand to enter into the EU, (f.ex. in the UK, Netherlands, etc).
It's seems to be an Open Question whether Sarkozy and Merkel's conditions will be really accepted by Barroso, who was appointed on 2004 in a different political context, (with Socialist Prime Ministers in Germany, France, etc), had rejected in the Past the idea of EU becoming "equal to the USA" as "ridiculous", and pushed for Turkey's contoversial EU bid, trying to "soften" or contain the changes desired by the People who voted for Merkel and Sarkozy with another policy vis a vis Turkey on 2005 in Germany and on 2007 in France, as they did all over Europe on 2009.
In addition to many EPP Governments, it's 3 remaining Socialist Prime Ministers : Gordon Brown in the UK, Zapatero in Spain, and Socrates in Prortugal, who support Barroso, as well as Liberal Swedish Prime Minister Reinfeldt. But their Parties lost the June 2009 EU Elections.
Questioned whether there was still "Time" for "other" possible "Candidates", Sarkozy and Merkel did not deny, nor made any comment on that, but simply said that "it's not for us to make publicity for any candidates. We anounced our choice ("A Program, and Mr. Barroso"). But we respect any other candidate".
Among various other names cited are former Belgian Prime Minister Verhofstadt, former UNO's Human Rights Commissioner Mary Robinson of Ireland, Italian former EU Commission's vice-President Monti, etc. Meanwhile, Luxembourg's PM Juncker, (who had been unanimously accepted by EU Council for EU Commission's Presidency on 2004, but refused), announced his intention to resign from "EuroGroup"'s Chair. Thus, he might be available for another Top EU job.
As "EuroFora"'s "opinion" said (See publication dated 9/6/09) : - "If the current candidates (i.e. Barroso, etc) to the Top EU jobs promise and guarantee to respect People's democratic choices, then, it's OK".
"Otherwise, Europe must find new candidates, really motivated and able to implement these democratic choices of the People."
Because, "in Democracy, the forthcoming choices for EU's Top Jobs,...should be made according to EU Citizens' Votes in June 7, 2009 European Elections, and main EU Governments' strategic policies".